NIGEL Farage’s Brexit Party could be on course for a shock win at next month’s European elections, an opinion poll has suggested.

The survey, published yesterday, found the hardline Leave-supporting party would get 27% of the vote across the UK, with Labour netting 22% and the Tories plummeting to just 15%.

It also suggests the increase in support for the Brexit Party is due to Tory and Ukip voters switching to the party – with the Ukip vote down from 14% in a poll last week to 7% in yesterday’s poll.

But the survey presented a different political landscape in Scotland, showing that the pro-Remain SNP would come top – winning 35% of the vote.

Labour would be second on 16% north of the Border, while the Greens and the Brexit Party would take joint third place on 13%. Ruth Davidson’s Scottish Tories would be pushed into fourth place on just 10%.

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Alyn Smith, the SNP MEP, told The National: “This poll shows what we already know – that the UK and Scotland are two very different places. The SNP has a clear message to remain in the EU which we have taken across all of our parliaments, while other parties don’t even know what their policy on Europe is.”

Researchers for YouGov carried out the poll on Monday and Tuesday this week, asking 1855 adults across the UK how they would intend to vote in the European elections. However, the sample size was small in Scotland with just 176 people taking part.

The elections will go ahead next month if the UK is still in the EU.

Theresa May wants to get her withdrawal agreement passed in the Commons. However, it has been defeated three times by a large majorities. She has been holding cross-party talks with Labour and its leader Jeremy Corbyn to try and find a way out of the impasse.

She remains hopeful of getting a deal passed in time to avoid taking part in the EU elections, but contingency planning is under way in case they need to go ahead. If they do, the results will be closely watched as a barometer of public sentiment on Brexit.

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Last week the PM agreed with the leaders of the 27 EU nations to delay the UK’s departure from the EU until October 31 if her deal is not passed before the European Parliament elections.

The first YouGov poll done on the EU elections last week, commissioned for The Times, put the Brexit Party at 15%, the Conservatives at 16% and Labour leading on 24%.

YouGov said the “burst of publicity that came with [the party’s] official formation” last week meant that the next poll “shows the Brexit Party leapfrogging into first place”.

Farage launched the party’s official EU campaign last week and made the surprise announcement that Annunziata Rees-Mogg – the sister of the leading Tory Brexiteer Jacob Rees-Mogg – would be among its candidates.

The poll yesterday will do nothing to quell concerns among Tories that the party is heading toward a disastrous result in the elections.

May came to an agreement with the EU that the UK would not have to take part in the elections if a Brexit deal was ratified before May 23. But with no agreement in sight, the political parties have begun preparing for the vote.