SCOTLAND’S three biggest political parties are failing to come clean with Scots in their manifestos, a think tank has claimed.
The Institute for Fiscal Studies (IFS) says the SNP, Labour and the Tories all underestimate how hard it will be to pay for their pre-election commitments and are failing to level with voters on the scale of the challenge.
It found Scottish Government's budget is likely to be tight in certain areas from next year, even before the parties' new spending plans are accounted for.
David Phillips, associate director at the IFS, said: "The SNP and Scottish Labour envisage what they might think of as a Scandinavian-style future – with a smorgasbord of new entitlements for Scottish residents.
"In contrast, the Scottish Conservatives' public services and benefits offer, while an increase on what is there today, is less expansive with an aim instead of modestly reducing tax.
"Another thing these manifestos have in common is, unfortunately, a disconnect from the fiscal reality the next Scottish Government is likely to face.
"Rising demand for, and costs of, health and social care could easily absorb three-quarters of the projected cash increase in the Scottish Government's budget over the next few years, substantially more than the SNP and Conservatives have budgeted for."
READ MORE: Nicola Sturgeon makes passionate defence of independence under BBC grilling
In an online discussion, Phillips said the Conservatives' plan for a "double lock" on NHS spending was effectively promising the same Barnett consequentials twice.
He said the Scottish Government's overall budget was projected to increase by about £4.9bn over the next four years.
However, increased costs for the NHS and social care are predicted to absorb 75% of this, making spending promises elsewhere more difficult.
Phillips commented: "Scotland's politicians have really failed to level with voters on the challenges that lie ahead."
He explained: "Scottish Labour have not even set out NHS spending plans beyond this year but it is hard to imagine them spending less given their plans for a £15-an-hour minimum wage for care workers by the end of the parliament.
"Paying for the billions in additional pledges in these manifestos would therefore mean either increases in Scottish taxes or cuts to some other areas of spending, unless substantially more UK government funding is forthcoming.
"It is also disappointing that, with the exception of the Scottish Conservatives, there is no serious attempt by the parties to provide transparent and comprehensive costings for their plans.”
The IFS said only SNP, Labour and Tory manifestos were analysed due to time and resource constraints.
Why are you making commenting on The National only available to subscribers?
We know there are thousands of National readers who want to debate, argue and go back and forth in the comments section of our stories. We’ve got the most informed readers in Scotland, asking each other the big questions about the future of our country.
Unfortunately, though, these important debates are being spoiled by a vocal minority of trolls who aren’t really interested in the issues, try to derail the conversations, register under fake names, and post vile abuse.
So that’s why we’ve decided to make the ability to comment only available to our paying subscribers. That way, all the trolls who post abuse on our website will have to pay if they want to join the debate – and risk a permanent ban from the account that they subscribe with.
The conversation will go back to what it should be about – people who care passionately about the issues, but disagree constructively on what we should do about them. Let’s get that debate started!
Callum Baird, Editor of The National
Comments: Our rules
We want our comments to be a lively and valuable part of our community - a place where readers can debate and engage with the most important local issues. The ability to comment on our stories is a privilege, not a right, however, and that privilege may be withdrawn if it is abused or misused.
Please report any comments that break our rules.
Read the rules hereLast Updated:
Report this comment Cancel