A “WILDCAT” referendum run by Holyrood without Westminster’s permission could be ruled legal by the UK’s top judges, a top Tory has said.
Adam Tomkins, a former Scottish Conservative MSP and the John Millar Chair of Public Law at Glasgow University, said that Brexit-related decisions had “muddied the waters”.
As such, Tomkins said that a Holyrood-run independence vote could be deemed legal as it would only seek the opinion of the Scottish people.
Speaking to the Daily Record, the Tory said he was worried about the legal uncertainty in the area, contradicting party leader Douglas Ross’s frequent assertions that such a vote would be an “illegal, wildcat referendum”.
The SNP’s 11-point plan to hold indyref2 says that it will create a referendum bill in Holyrood and dare Westminster to challenge it in the courts, offer a section 30 order, or simply accept that the Scottish parliament has the power to hold an independence vote.
READ MORE: Michael Russell: Here is the SNP's 11-point plan to hold indyref2 in full
Tomkins said there was an “assumption” among Unionists that the courts would rule against Holyrood’s right to hold a referendum, but warned that he does not believe “the law is as clear as that”.
The public law expert said that, while he previously believed holding indyref2 was not in the power of the Scottish parliament, court decisions around Brexit had “very significantly muddied the waters”.
Tomkins said: “If the Scottish Government presents an independence referendum bill as if its purpose is to seek the opinion of the Scottish people, knowing that its effect in law is zero, then because of the Supreme Court’s judgements since Brexit, it is going to be quite difficult I think to convince the Supreme Court (shown below) that this a measure that relates to a reserved matter.
“The effect of the measure might be politically enormous, but the legal effect of the measure is zero.”
The EU referendum in 2016 was also not legally binding, but it is extremely difficult for any government to deny a clear mandate voted on by the people in answer to such a straight question.
The High Court said on November 3 of that year: “A referendum on any topic can only be advisory for the lawmakers in parliament.”
Tomkins told the Record it was not a “dead cert” that the Supreme Court would allow Holyrood to hold such an advisory referendum, but that it was also not “safe” for Unionists to assume the opposite.
He said an option for the UK Government would be to legislate to end this legal confusion, but warned the political “optics” of this move would be challenging.
On Thursday, Michael Gove said categorically that the Tory government would “not be legislating” to prevent future referendums.
READ MORE: Tories will not change law to stop future independence votes, Michael Gove says
Responding to Tomkins’s comments, SNP MSP Rona Mackay said: “The people of Scotland have spoken and emphatically delivered an SNP landslide, electing a 15-seat majority of independence supporting MSPs along the way.
“While it is welcome that Adam Tomkins in his professional capacity recognises Scotland’s legal right to determine our future, perhaps he might use his expertise to convince his former bosses Boris Johnson and Douglas Ross to respect democracy rather than continuing their Trump-like bid to deny a clear-cut election result.”
A Scottish Conservative spokesperson said: “The last thing that Scotland needs right now, with a health and economic crisis to tackle, is another divisive independence referendum.
“We are fully focused on Scotland’s recovery from the pandemic and that should be the only priority for every party in the Scottish Parliament.”
Why are you making commenting on The National only available to subscribers?
We know there are thousands of National readers who want to debate, argue and go back and forth in the comments section of our stories. We’ve got the most informed readers in Scotland, asking each other the big questions about the future of our country.
Unfortunately, though, these important debates are being spoiled by a vocal minority of trolls who aren’t really interested in the issues, try to derail the conversations, register under fake names, and post vile abuse.
So that’s why we’ve decided to make the ability to comment only available to our paying subscribers. That way, all the trolls who post abuse on our website will have to pay if they want to join the debate – and risk a permanent ban from the account that they subscribe with.
The conversation will go back to what it should be about – people who care passionately about the issues, but disagree constructively on what we should do about them. Let’s get that debate started!
Callum Baird, Editor of The National
Comments: Our rules
We want our comments to be a lively and valuable part of our community - a place where readers can debate and engage with the most important local issues. The ability to comment on our stories is a privilege, not a right, however, and that privilege may be withdrawn if it is abused or misused.
Please report any comments that break our rules.
Read the rules hereLast Updated:
Report this comment Cancel