BORIS Johnson’s argument against holding indyref2 will "wash away”, according to the UK’s leading polling expert.
Professor Sir John Curtice, of the University of Strathclyde, warned the Prime Minister has he visited Scotland that he could no longer use the pandemic as an excuse not to hold another vote.
The Tory leader has come north as part of efforts to strengthen the Union, though he has publicly snubbed an invitation to meet with the First Minister.
Curtice, speaking to the Express, predicted a “game of chess” next year when the Covid crisis is likely to cease being the major issue in people’s lives.
“If the pandemic is coming towards an end, and the UK Government seemed to be among the cheerleaders to saying that the pandemic is coming to the end, then the arguments you can't hold a referendum anytime soon because of the pandemic will wash away,” the professor said.
READ MORE: Boris Johnson 'quite right' to reject Nicola Sturgeon talks, Douglas Ross claims
"They'll particularly wash away so far as the UK Government won't be able to pursue that argument anymore because of its own stance on the subject that 'we're waiting to see and it's all very much uncertain, we wait to see what happens during the winter.'
"But certainly by this time next year, the reasonable bet is the pandemic will no longer be a significant strain on social and political life.
"At that point, the game of chess starts and we wait to see where the polls are at when the game of chess starts.
"And we wait to see how the game of chess is played. But it's a complicated game of chess."
The Scottish Government has pledged to hold indyref2 within the parliamentary term, once the coronavirus crisis has “passed”.
According to reports, SNP members will be invited to back a new drive for independence at the party’s upcoming conference.
Curtice noted that Sturgeon is under pressure from the Yes movement on promises to push for a second plebiscite.
He added: “It will be as impossible for Nicola Sturgeon not to pursue a referendum as would have been proposed Johnson not to have pursued Brexit after December 2019.
"They are both hidebound by very particular electorates that have a very particular view.
"And then we see what happens."
Over the weekend, Cabinet Office minister Michael Gove said the UK Government would not stand in the way of a plebiscite if it was the "settled will" of the Scottish people.
But he added: "I just don't think that it is right, and the public don't think it is right, to ask that question at the moment."
Ian Blackford, the SNP's Westminster leader, stressed that the will of the Scottish people was expressed in May's Holyrood election, when a pro-Yes majority was elected to Parliament.
Why are you making commenting on The National only available to subscribers?
We know there are thousands of National readers who want to debate, argue and go back and forth in the comments section of our stories. We’ve got the most informed readers in Scotland, asking each other the big questions about the future of our country.
Unfortunately, though, these important debates are being spoiled by a vocal minority of trolls who aren’t really interested in the issues, try to derail the conversations, register under fake names, and post vile abuse.
So that’s why we’ve decided to make the ability to comment only available to our paying subscribers. That way, all the trolls who post abuse on our website will have to pay if they want to join the debate – and risk a permanent ban from the account that they subscribe with.
The conversation will go back to what it should be about – people who care passionately about the issues, but disagree constructively on what we should do about them. Let’s get that debate started!
Callum Baird, Editor of The National
Comments: Our rules
We want our comments to be a lively and valuable part of our community - a place where readers can debate and engage with the most important local issues. The ability to comment on our stories is a privilege, not a right, however, and that privilege may be withdrawn if it is abused or misused.
Please report any comments that break our rules.
Read the rules hereLast Updated:
Report this comment Cancel