THE UK's economic growth slowed sharply between July and September as supply chain problems hampered recovery from the pandemic, official figures have shown.
The Office for National Statistics (ONS) said the economy expanded by 1.3% between July and September, down from growth of 5.5% in the previous three months.
The ONS said growth picked up in September to a better-than-expected 0.6% but revisions showed the performance was worse than first thought in July and August, with signs that supply chain issues were taking their toll.
Data showed a 0.2% contraction in July, against the 0.1% fall previously estimated, while August showed growth of 0.2%, against the 0.4% initial reading.
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Car sales, in particular, have been hit by a shortage of semiconductor chips, while construction projects were delayed amid difficulties in getting materials, according to the ONS.
The third-quarter result means the economy is now 2.1% below where it was before the pandemic struck.
On a month-by-month basis, the economy in September was 0.6% below pre-pandemic levels seen in February 2020.
The ONS said gross domestic product (GDP) in September was buoyed by the health sector, with trips to the doctor increasing ahead of the start of flu season and as Britons returned to offices and schools reopened.
Grant Fitzner, chief economist at the ONS, said: “Growth picked up in September and the UK economy is now only slightly below pre-pandemic levels.
“This latest increase was led by the health sector, boosted by more visits to GP surgeries in England.
“Lawyers also had a busy month as house-buyers rushed to complete purchases before the end of the stamp duty holiday.
“However, these were partially offset by falls in both the manufacture and sale of cars.
“Notably, business investment remained well down on pre-pandemic levels in the three months to September.”
The slowdown in third-quarter growth comes after the Bank of England held off from raising interest rates last week despite soaring inflation.
It wanted to see how the jobs market and wider economy was holding up after the end of furlough and due to the supply problems before increasing rates from 0.1%.
The Bank had expected growth to slow to 1.5% in the third quarter and forecasts it will pull back further to 1% in the final three months of 2021.
The growth slowdown raises the threat of so-called stagflation – slowing growth combined with rising inflation – as the cost of living rockets higher with soaring energy and fuel costs adding to price increases due to supply issues.
The Bank has warned that inflation will jump from 3.1% to 4.5% by November and hit around 5% next April, the highest level for a decade.
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The latest ONS figures show further evidence of supply chain strain on the UK economy, with car production, renting and leasing hit by the shortage of new cars throughout the quarter, while construction was also knocked in July and August.
Overall, growth in the trade and repair of motor vehicles sector was down 13.7% in September, compared with pre-pandemic levels in February.
The figures also revealed a 2.9% jump in fuel sales by volume in September amid panic-buying on forecourts caused by some petrol station closures due to driver shortages.
The sector-by-sector breakdown for the third quarter showed services output rose 1.6% between July and September, down from 6.5% in the second quarter, while manufacturing saw a 0.3% decline with a 1.5% contraction in the construction industry.
Philippa Whitford, the SNP's Europe spokesperson, said the figures show Brexit continues to be an "unmitigated disaster" for Scotland.
“These latest statistics highlight that the UK, post-Brexit, is a far less dynamic nation on the world stage and that we are now exporting much less than if we were still a member of the European Union," she commented.
“Scotland did not vote for Brexit, and it certainly did not vote for Boris Johnson’s botched Brexit deal that is forcing us into the insular and isolationist Tory vision, yet Scotland will continue to be punished as a result.
"This is a Union directed by Westminster’s whims rather than respecting the views of its constituent nations."
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