A NEW Scottish independence poll has given Yes a two-point lead.
The survey from Redfield and Wilton Strategies put support for independence at 44% compared with 42% support for the Union, with don't knows included.
It's the first time the pollsters have found a lead for independence since November 2022, directly after the Supreme Court ruled Scotland could not hold a referendum without Westminster approval.
'Yes' leads by 2%.
— Redfield & Wilton Strategies (@RedfieldWilton) April 10, 2024
First lead for 'Yes' since November 2022.
Scotland Independence Referendum Voting Intention (6-7 April):
Yes 44% (+1)
No 42% (-4)
Don't Know 14% (+3)
Changes +/- 10-11 Marchhttps://t.co/Z3QoFan4IM pic.twitter.com/Lq7RlVX5wS
It also found that 38% approve of the Scottish Government’s performance on Scottish independence, compared to 33% who disapprove.
In Scotland, the UK Government has a net competency rating of -47, compared to -7 for the Scottish Government.
The pollsters' Westminster voting intention poll also found Labour leading the SNP by one point, on the same day as a YouGov survey recorded a lead for Labour for the first time since the 2014 referendum.
Altogether the results (with changes from the previous poll on March 10-11 in parentheses) are as follows:
- Labour 33% (-1)
- Scottish National Party 32% (-2)
- Conservative 17% (+1)
- Liberal Democrat 8% (+2)
- Reform UK 5% (+1)
- Green 2% (-2)
- Alba Party 2% (+1)
- Other 0% (–)
Redfield and Wilton also polled voters on how they would vote at a Holyrood election, and found the SNP were leading in the constituency vote.
The results were:
- SNP 34% (-1)
- Labour 32% (+1)
- Conservatives 21% (+3)
- Lib Dem 6% (+1)
- Reform UK 3% (-1)
- Green 2% (-1)
- Alba 2% (-1)
- Other 1% (+1)
However, on the regional list, Labour were leading the SNP.
The results were:
- Labour 29% (–)
- SNP 26% (-2)
- Conservatives 17% (+1)
- Green 9% (–)
- Lib Dems 9% (–)
- Reform UK 5% (–)
- Alba 3% (–)
- Other 2% (+2)
Redfield and Wilton surveyed 1000 Scottish adults from April 6-7.
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