LABOUR is on course for a landslide election victory according to a new projection which puts the Tories on course for their worst-ever result.
In its first MRP model of the 2024 General Election, pollsters Ipso estimated Labour could win 453 seats and the Conservatives 115.
It would beat the Tories’ 1906 thrashing at the hands of the Liberal, where they won just 156 seats.
In the Ipso projection the LibDems were predicted to take 38 seats and the SNP 15.
It also said Nigel Farage would win for Reform in Clacton and the party would win three seats overall.
And Jeremy Corbyn would lose his Islington North seat of 41 years to Labour, according to the prediction.
According to Ipso, Labour have an implied vote share of 43%, with Tories on 25%, Reform UK on 12%, the Lib Dems on 10%, the Greens on 6%, the SNP on 3% and Plaid Cymru on 1%.
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The Guardian reported that the model shows Labour are on course to win a substantial majority even before knife-edge seats are taken into consideration.
It found 117 seats, most won by the Conservatives at the last election, are now considered too close to call. Of these, the Tories are marginally ahead in 56, with Labour leading in 48.
Ipso surveyed nearly 20,000 participants on June 7 to 12 and its MRP model uses population data at a constituency level to project which party will win which seats at the election.
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