THE woes of the Conservative Party continue with some new Scottish polling showing figures which, if replicated at a Westminster General Election, would see all six Tory MPs lose their seats with the party facing a 1997-style extinction-level event.
Polls by YouGov and Savanta ComRes, published for The Times and The Scotsman respectively, have found that the Tories are set for electoral annihilation in Scotland.
We would once again be able to trot out the hoary old joke that there are more pandas in Scotland than Tory MPs. A friend who is an academic specialising in animal behaviour pointed out that pandas are notoriously bad-tempered, irascible, anti-social and very poor at adapting their behaviour, so they are indeed very similar to the Scottish Conservatives. Although, admittedly if you were to imagine that the Scottish Conservative contingent at Holyrood was cute and cuddly it could only be because there is something seriously wrong with you.
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The Holyrood voting intention questions of the same polls also predict that the SNP would easily take enough seats to hold an absolute majority in its own right in the Scottish Parliament, with both this week’s polls showing that the Greens are snapping at the heels of the Tories in regional list voting intention. The Scottish Conservatives are not only looking at the possibility of losing every one of their six Westminster MPs, they also must face up to the very real prospect that they could even end up as the fourth-largest party at Holyrood. They would be far behind the SNP, Labour - who are on course to be the second largest party - and potentially even behind the Scottish Greens.
Liz Truss has only been in office for a couple of weeks but she already has approval ratings in Scotland almost as bad as those of Boris Johnson in his final weeks in power. Truss has an approval rating in Scotland of -70, just one point better than Johnson at his worst, and this is supposedly a period when a new Prime Minister should be enjoying a honeymoon in office with the public giving her the benefit of the doubt. However, it appears that the Scottish public has already made its mind up about Liz Truss and its verdict is damning. Scotland has looked at this new Conservative leadership and does not like what it sees.
So much for Douglas Ross's confident assertions that he was going to take on the SNP and had his sights set on becoming the First Minister. The public revulsion with his party's sleaze, corruption, callous cruelty and economic mismanagement at Westminster looks set to destroy the Conservatives as a meaningful political force in Scotland, no matter how much Douglas Ross and the Scottish media bang on about the ferries.
In more bad news for the frothier end of the “we're not nationalists because we're British” brigade, this week has also seen the publication of Scotland in Union's latest hopelessly biased poll. This is the poll which does not ask respondents the standard question on independence - Should Scotland be an independent country? - but rather a question about remaining in or leaving the United Kingdom. This phrasing typically produces a lower figure in support of independence than the standard question, which is of course precisely why Scotland in Union uses it.
However, even with this loaded question, only 51% of respondents opt to “remain in the United Kingdom,” and that is before don't knows are excluded. This is well within the 3% margin of error which is standard in opinion polling. This means that even Scotland in Union's ludicrous and biased push-polling is producing a statistical tie on the crucial independence question.
The weeks ahead are only set to get more rocky for the Conservatives, both at a UK level and in Scotland. There are credible rumours of moves afoot to replace Douglas Ross as the Scottish Tory leader after a series of embarrassing resignations and the humiliation of his newly appointed chief of staff being revealed as a Walter Mitty character who allegedly invented key parts of his CV, yet was given the job without Douglas Ross's office doing some basic background checks.
However, the truth for the Scottish Tories is that they are very much hostage to the fortunes of their Westminster colleagues and can only watch powerlessly as the British Government implodes. So very much like the rest of us then.
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