SCOTLAND will be an independent nation.
It is abundantly clear that we are living in the final chapter, or possibly the epilogue, of the once great British Empire.
Small, versatile, developed, democratic nations are perfectly placed to blossom in the modern era.
In a world of instant global communication and digital innovation, Scotland will flourish as a free and independent nation.
The question is when? A few decades may be no more than a snapshot in history, but for many of us this will feel far too long to wait for freedom.
Polling in Scotland is reasonably consistent, the ebb and flow of support for indy between the 45% of the 2014 referendum and up to 55%.
A great place to be but not necessarily enough to comfortably cross the line, perhaps not enough to be bold, confident and irresistible in the founding of a new nation.
READ MORE: Welsh independence is a 'viable' option for the country, report says
There is also the thorny issue of a second referendum within a decade of the first.
How often can you ask the question? Do you keep going until you get the answer you desire? What happens if a second referendum delivers a narrow loss or a narrow victory?
It is not ideal to venture forth as a brand new nation with 50.1% of the popular vote in favour. To lose with 49.9% of the vote entrenches the Union for decades.
It may be counterintuitive but a shift in focus away from Scotland could be the answer. Support for the inevitable reunification of Ireland is a road to ending the United Kingdom.
But Irish reunification is just that, it is not a nation securing its own independence.
Better then to look to Wales. It is an absolute certainty that when Wales leaves the United Kingdom, the final full stop in the final chapter of this particular history will be written.
Through Wales, Scotland can find a faster route to its own freedom.
Support for Welsh independence has grown enormously in less than a decade. A poll in Wales shortly before the Scottish referendum placed Yes at a mere 5%. Today, polling suggests a comfortable and fairly stable third of the population are Yes.
All this without the catalyst of a referendum campaign. With the precedent already established by Scotland, it would be incredibly difficult to deny Wales the same opportunity to conduct its own independence referendum.
Pushing Wales to the point where a referendum is desirable, viable and winnable may sound like a surprising route to Scottish independence but lateral pressure can certainly be more productive than direct confrontation.
READ MORE: Huw Edwards says Welsh independence is no longer a 'joke'
When Wales is leaving the Union how many of the “maybes” in Scotland will still have doubts about indy?
Despite rapid growth it is only now that the Welsh independence campaign is truly finding its feet. It is doing so very differently to Scotland.
Its hopes aren’t pinned to a political party but to a pan political movement, YesCymru, founded way back in 2016!
The campaign provides a home for those of all political persuasions and none, it is a voice for independence above all else. It is loud and getting louder.
Imagine the possibilities in Wales with a well resourced, intensive, professional, member-led grassroots organisation orchestrating a rolling campaign in favour of independence.
The third who are indy today could rapidly become two-thirds, a point at which the break up of the United Kingdom becomes completely inevitable.
At that point, when Wales has made clear that we are leaving, the current system ends and all parts of the Union must come together as one to arrange and negotiate a full separation, one with a clear vision of profitable, healthy and constructive new relationships between the four nations to the benefit of all. Ireland, Scotland, England and Wales will all be better off.
The Welsh independence movement and campaign can be the key to unlocking this.
There has been a great deal of discussion in Scotland of late, considerable turmoil too.
The next Westminster election as a de facto poll on independence – problematic. Continue to fight for a second referendum – denied. Hope for influence in a hung Parliament after the next General Election – unlikely.
Shelve the Indy campaign for now and continue to play the game of government inside the Union structure – the Catalan model? This hasn’t worked well for the independence campaign in Catalonia, no reason to believe it will deliver for Scotland.
READ MORE: Is Wales viewed as expendable in a way that Scotland is not?
I’d like to suggest an alternative for those who wish to accelerate the process and see Scottish independence sooner rather than later.
Join YesCymru, lend your weight and voices in massive numbers to the campaign for Welsh independence.
Stand and march with us side by side as Celtic cousins, celebrate the growth and continued success of the Welsh independence movement.
Feed on that success and use it to make the 45%-55% Yes vote in Scotland a consistent 55%-65% Yes vote.
Together we can be free sooner.
Gwern Gwynfil is the CEO of YesCymru, the campaign group for an independent Wales.
Why are you making commenting on The National only available to subscribers?
We know there are thousands of National readers who want to debate, argue and go back and forth in the comments section of our stories. We’ve got the most informed readers in Scotland, asking each other the big questions about the future of our country.
Unfortunately, though, these important debates are being spoiled by a vocal minority of trolls who aren’t really interested in the issues, try to derail the conversations, register under fake names, and post vile abuse.
So that’s why we’ve decided to make the ability to comment only available to our paying subscribers. That way, all the trolls who post abuse on our website will have to pay if they want to join the debate – and risk a permanent ban from the account that they subscribe with.
The conversation will go back to what it should be about – people who care passionately about the issues, but disagree constructively on what we should do about them. Let’s get that debate started!
Callum Baird, Editor of The National
Comments: Our rules
We want our comments to be a lively and valuable part of our community - a place where readers can debate and engage with the most important local issues. The ability to comment on our stories is a privilege, not a right, however, and that privilege may be withdrawn if it is abused or misused.
Please report any comments that break our rules.
Read the rules hereLast Updated:
Report this comment Cancel